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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Sutton United

Gillingham
1 - 0
Sutton

Malone (72')
Coleman (36')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Goodliffe (9'), Goodliffe (10'), Hart (83'), Clay (84')
Smith (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Gillingham 1-0 Sutton United

This match is shaping up to be a tighter affair than initially expected, with Gillingham's form nosediving while Sutton seemed to have found their fighting spirit again. However, this is the perfect opportunity for the home side to find their scoring boots again, as they have been creating enough chances to put teams to bed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawSutton United
48.07% (-0.204 -0.2) 26.43% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 25.5% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 48.09% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.17% (-0.191 -0.19)55.83% (0.19 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.05% (-0.155 -0.16)76.95% (0.155 0.16)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (-0.173 -0.17)23.25% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.83% (-0.253 -0.25)57.17% (0.254 0.25)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66% (0.009999999999998 0.01)37.34% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.88% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)74.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 48.07%
    Sutton United 25.5%
    Draw 26.42%
GillinghamDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 12.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.24% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 48.07%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.68% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 8.55% (0.064 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.15% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.21% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 25.5%

Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Sutton
0-1
Gillingham

Angol (5'), Milsom (25')
Nadesan (10')
Coleman (76')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Sutton
2-1
Gillingham
Baggott (43' og.), Eastmond (90+3')
McKenzie (78')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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