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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Newport County |
56.26% ( 0.04) | 24.89% ( -0.02) | 18.85% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 44.48% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.56% ( 0.03) | 56.44% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.55% ( 0.03) | 77.44% ( -0.03) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.98% ( 0.03) | 20.02% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.77% ( 0.05) | 52.23% ( -0.05) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.61% ( -0.01) | 44.39% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.56% ( -0.01) | 80.44% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Barrow | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 14.29% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 56.25% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.68% Total : 18.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
2 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 19 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 19 |
5 | Notts County | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
6 | Port Vale | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 18 |
7 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 15 |
11 | Chesterfield | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
13 | MK Dons | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
14 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
15 | Salford City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 12 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 11 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 11 |
19 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 7 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 6 |
24 | Morecambe | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 |
> League Two Full Table |