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Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Port Vale

Newport
1 - 4
Port Vale

Wildig (24')
Glennon (35'), Evans (51'), Jameson (54'), Wildig (85')
Brennan (59'), Jameson (67')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Stockley (6', 36'), Chislett (48'), Tolaj (54')
Cover (37'), Hackford (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Newport County and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Port Vale

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 2-2 Wolves U21s (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Newport County 2-1 Port Vale

 Newport appear to have a knack of picking up wins in the early stages of this season, and given they have two wins from two at Rodney Parade so far, we would expect them to keep up their home form and take all three points at the expense of a Port Vale side that come into this game winless in three league outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawPort Vale
32.42% (-0.696 -0.7) 26.18% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 41.39% (0.774 0.77)
Both teams to score 52.87% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.42% (0.145 0.14)51.58% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.62% (0.125 0.13)73.37% (-0.127 -0.13)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)29.84% (0.384 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.06% (-0.47 -0.47)65.93% (0.47 0.47)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (0.465 0.47)24.63% (-0.465 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86% (0.645 0.64)59.14% (-0.646 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 32.42%
    Port Vale 41.39%
    Draw 26.18%
Newport CountyDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 8.89% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.37% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 32.42%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.35% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 10.3% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.73% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 7.22% (0.151 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.08% (0.097 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.115 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.053 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.18% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.39%

How you voted: Newport vs Port Vale

Newport County
63.2%
Draw
15.8%
Port Vale
21.1%
38
Head to Head
May 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Port Vale
1-2
Newport
Garrity (51')
Martin (86')
Haynes (3'), Azaz (72')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Newport
2-1
Port Vale
Telford (69'), Azaz (75')
Lewis (24'), Cooper (85')
Garrity (25')
Walker (8'), Pett (33'), Lucas (45'), Gibbons (90+6')
Jones (87')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 29
Port Vale
2-1
Newport
Conlon (12'), Rodney (75')
Joyce (43')
Scrimshaw (55')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Newport
1-0
Port Vale
Ellison (90+6')
Cooper (30'), Demetriou (64')

(5'), Worrall (25'), (69'), Montano (74')
Legge (68')
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 45
Port Vale
P-P
Newport
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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