EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle2 - 0Harrogate
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Carlisle United and Harrogate Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Walsall 0-1 Harrogate
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Harrogate Town |
46.3% ( 0.01) | 26.02% ( -0) | 27.68% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.96% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.07% ( 0.01) | 52.93% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.47% ( 0.01) | 74.53% ( -0.01) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.17% ( 0.01) | 22.83% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.45% ( 0.01) | 56.55% ( -0.02) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.03% | 33.96% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.36% | 70.64% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United 46.3%
Harrogate Town 27.68%
Draw 26.01%
Carlisle United | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 11.45% 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 46.3% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 27.68% |
How you voted: Carlisle vs Harrogate
Carlisle United
53.8%Draw
23.1%Harrogate Town
23.1%13
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Harrogate
3-0
Carlisle
Jan 4, 2022 7pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-21 17:17:31
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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