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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.72%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 21.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 2-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
21.31% ( -0.97) | 21.97% ( -0.54) | 56.72% ( 1.52) |
Both teams to score 57.14% ( 0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.49% ( 1.24) | 41.51% ( -1.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.09% ( 1.25) | 63.91% ( -1.25) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.8% ( -0.2) | 33.2% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.19% ( -0.22) | 69.81% ( 0.22) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.54% ( 0.92) | 14.46% ( -0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.57% ( 1.75) | 42.42% ( -1.75) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
2-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.3% Total : 21.31% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.97% | 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 8.98% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 6.38% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 5.79% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 3.08% ( 0.2) 0-4 @ 2.8% ( 0.2) 2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.1) 1-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.12) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.02% Total : 56.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 34 |
2 | Walsall | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 30 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 26 |
8 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
20 | Bromley | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 17 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 17 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
23 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
24 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |