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Championship header 2

League Two
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Prenton Park
Harrogate Town

Tranmere
1 - 1
Harrogate

Oxley (36' og.)
Cogley (54'), Hendry (63'), Turnbull (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Armstrong (4')
O'Connor (35'), Falkingham (49'), Sutton (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-0 Harrogate Town

 Even though they were ultimately unable to come away with the three points, there were promising signs for Tranmere in the first half at Colchester last weekend, and they have largely been solid at home against teams in the bottom half of the table. With Harrogate coming up short in their last away trip, against relegation-threatened Crawley Town, we expect the hosts to run out narrow victors, in what is likely to be a scrappy game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawHarrogate Town
46.79% (-0.236 -0.24) 26.41% (0.159 0.16) 26.8% (0.081999999999997 0.08)
Both teams to score 49.17% (-0.395 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.06% (-0.543 -0.54)54.94% (0.547 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.78% (-0.45 -0.45)76.22% (0.453 0.45)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (-0.343 -0.34)23.47% (0.347 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.52% (-0.5 -0.5)57.49% (0.503 0.5)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25% (-0.226 -0.23)35.75% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48% (-0.233 -0.23)72.52% (0.23700000000001 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 46.78%
    Harrogate Town 26.8%
    Draw 26.4%
Tranmere RoversDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 12.16% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.81% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.26% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 46.78%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.39% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 8.63% (0.129 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 26.8%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Harrogate

Tranmere Rovers
74.1%
Draw
18.5%
Harrogate Town
7.4%
27
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Harrogate
1-1
Tranmere
Daly (37')
Headley (60')
Turnbull (57')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Tranmere
2-0
Harrogate
Warrington (49'), Hemmings (65' pen.)
McPake (18'), Clarke (60'), Murphy (86')

Armstrong (25'), Fallowfield (65')
Armstrong (27')
Dec 21, 2021 7pm
Second Round
Tranmere
1-2
Harrogate
Maynard (11')
Muldoon (53'), Pattison (71')
Diamond (64'), Thomson (77')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Harrogate
2-2
Tranmere
Muldoon (39' pen.), Armstrong (51')
Spearing (32' pen.), Morris (55')
Cogley (90')
Jan 26, 2021 7pm
Tranmere
3-2
Harrogate
Vaughan (36' pen., 53'), Woolery (51')
MacDonald (57'), Lewis (86'), Vaughan (90')
McPake (25'), March (72')
Hall (35')
Hall (69')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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