Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 51.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.