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FA Cup
MK Dons
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 3, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium mk
AFC Wimbledon

MK Dons
0 - 2
AFC Wimbledon


Hogan (30'), Lemonheigh-Evans (38'), Thompson-Sommers (57'), Gilbey (90+5'), Harrison (90+5')
Lemonheigh-Evans (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Stevens (44'), Bugiel (51')
Neufville (12'), Hippolyte (67'), Stevens (73'), Lewis (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between MK Dons and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-3 MK Dons
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-3 Brighton U21s
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: MK Dons 2-1 AFC Wimbledon

 Expect Sunday's intriguing affair to partially live up to the pre-match billing, as goals are flowing into both nets whenever MK Dons take to the field, while Wimbledon gave a terrific account of themselves at Port Vale. However, the hosts are more in-form, more well-rested and are seldom outfought at home to Wimbledon, so we expect Lindsey's men to exact revenge for September's loss and progress to round two. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawAFC Wimbledon
44.87% (1.304 1.3) 25.09% (-0.135 -0.13) 30.04% (-1.167 -1.17)
Both teams to score 55.38% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.14% (0.073 0.07)47.86% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.96% (0.069000000000003 0.07)70.04% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65% (0.631 0.63)21.35% (-0.626 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.68% (0.961 0.96)54.32% (-0.956 -0.96)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (-0.753 -0.75)29.59% (0.759 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.38% (-0.93 -0.93)65.62% (0.934 0.93)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 44.87%
    AFC Wimbledon 30.04%
    Draw 25.09%
MK DonsDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.155 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.125 0.13)
2-0 @ 7.53% (0.259 0.26)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.152 0.15)
3-0 @ 3.88% (0.203 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.091 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.105 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 44.87%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.69% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-2 @ 7.23% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-0.216 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 30.04%

How you voted: MK Dons vs AFC Wimbledon

MK Dons
54.8%
Draw
16.1%
AFC Wimbledon
29.0%
31
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 6
AFC Wimbledon
3-0
MK Dons
Hippolyte (11'), Maycock (90', 90+7')
> Preview
Mar 2, 2024 12.45pm
Gameweek 36
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
MK Dons
Curtis (90+4')
Little (28'), Kelly (36'), Bugiel (77'), Reeves (85'), O'Toole (90+2'), Curtis (90+5')

Kelly (4'), Wearne (29'), Harvie (55'), Lofthouse (56'), Gilbey (65'), Norman (87')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
MK Dons
3-1
AFC Wimbledon
Kemp (10'), Johnson (16' og.), O'Hora (22')
Payne (79')
Little (53')
Tilley (56')
Biler (65'), Kalambayi (73')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
MK Dons
Woodyard (19')
Heneghan (36'), Assal (45+1'), Marsh (67')
Parrott (80')
Harvie (40'), O'Hora (45+1')
Jan 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
MK Dons
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
O'Riley (29')

Guinness-Walker (23')
Guinness-Walker (36')
> Preview
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