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Walsall
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Sutton United

MK Dons
4 - 4
Sutton

Payne (14'), Gilbey (41'), Tezgel (60'), Harrison (70')
O'Hora (67'), Harrison (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Duke-McKenna (50', 75'), Lakin (62'), Smith (90+1')
Eastmond (65'), Hart (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 3-5 MK Dons
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-2 Crawley
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 2-1 Sutton United

Although MK Dons will have one eye on the playoffs, the hosts are likely to use Saturday's match as a warm-up game ahead of the upcoming race for promotion. Sutton have won just four times on the road this season in 22 attempts, meaning that a safety-clinching victory in Buckinghamshire is unlikely this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 54.1%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.37%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawSutton United
54.1% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 21.49% (0.00099999999999767 0) 24.42% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 63.14% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.51% (0.027000000000001 0.03)35.49% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.46% (0.030999999999999 0.03)57.54% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.75% (0.0049999999999955 0)13.25% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)40.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78% (0.030999999999992 0.03)27.22% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36% (0.042000000000002 0.04)62.64% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 54.1%
    Sutton United 24.42%
    Draw 21.49%
MK DonsDrawSutton United
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.26%
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.32%
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-3 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 54.1%
1-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.61% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.82% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.49%
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 4.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 24.42%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Sutton

MK Dons
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Sutton United
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Sutton
1-1
MK Dons
Sowunmi (37')
Gilbey (53')
Williams (71')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
MK Dons
1-0
Sutton
Grant (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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