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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
MK Dons

Notts County
3 - 3
MK Dons

Austin (45+4'), Jatta (48'), Nemane (90+1')
Langstaff (58'), Robertson (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dean (19'), Harrison (64', 83')
Norman (39'), Bate (39'), Harvie (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Notts County and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Notts County
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 5-0 Walsall
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 1-2 MK Dons

 Defensively, Notts County have struggled to hold it together throughout the year, and they are catching MK Dons at a bad time, with the visitors fresh off an emphatic victory last week, while the Dons have the added motivation of being in the thick of the race for a spot in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 38.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.54%) and 2-0 (4.81%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawMK Dons
39.33% (0.25700000000001 0.26) 22.47% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 38.19% (-0.22 -0.22)
Both teams to score 67.47% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.89% (0.17399999999999 0.17)33.11% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.15% (0.201 0.2)54.85% (-0.202 -0.2)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.38% (0.185 0.19)17.61% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.8% (0.32 0.32)48.2% (-0.32 -0.32)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)18.11% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.95% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)49.05% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 39.33%
    MK Dons 38.19%
    Draw 22.47%
Notts CountyDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.81% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.06% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.017 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.01% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 39.33%
1-1 @ 9.46% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 7.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.19% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.32% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.47%
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.45% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.61% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.71%
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.99% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 38.19%

How you voted: Notts County vs MK Dons

Notts County
20.0%
Draw
13.3%
MK Dons
66.7%
15
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
MK Dons
1-1
Notts County
Harvie (46')
Smith (90+1')
Cameron (66')
> Preview
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Notts County
1-2
MK Dons
Barclay (94')
Mackail-Smith (73')
Wheeler (62'), Aneke (85')
Oct 23, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
MK Dons
2-1
Notts County
Aneke (60' pen.), Healey (69')
Gilbey (6')
Alessandra (23')
Hemmings (17'), Ward (45'), Evina (45')
Turley (58')
Mar 21, 2015 3pm
MK Dons
4-1
Notts County
Baker (63'), Baker (74'), Grigg (84', 93')
Randall (90')
Whitehouse (79')
Whitehouse (51'), Smith (57'), Spencer (97')
Dec 26, 2014 3pm
Notts County
0-1
MK Dons

McLaughlin (68')
Powell (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall22154341192249
2AFC Wimbledon22114733181537
3Notts County22107535241137
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster2310763227537
5Port Vale2310762724337
6Grimsby Town23121103334-137
7Salford City2210662619736
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe229942619736
9Chesterfield2397737271034
10Bradford CityBradford229762824434
11MK Dons219483429531
12Bromley2271053126531
13Gillingham2293102221130
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham238693436-230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2251252623327
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood216962726127
17BarrowBarrow227692122-127
18Newport CountyNewport2275102938-926
19Tranmere RoversTranmere215791630-1422
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2364131935-1622
21Swindon TownSwindon2349102837-921
22Accrington StanleyAccrington2147102738-1119
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2246121734-1718
24Morecambe2345142039-1917
> League Two Full Table


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