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Championship header 2

League Two
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Accrington Stanley

Sutton
3 - 1
Accrington

Smith (16'), Sowunmi (68'), Adom-Malaki (74')
Smith (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bickerstaff (85')
Adedoyin (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Forest Green 0-1 Sutton
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Notts County
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 0-3 Accrington Stanley

 While Sutton will be desperate to build upon their previous victory over relegation rivals Forest Green as they look to make ground on the two teams above them, Accrington have proved throughout the course of the season that they are capable of big victories, including a 4-1 win in the previous encounter between these sides. The hosts have not won in front of their home crowd in the league since a 2-1 victory over Bradford City back in October, and we expect Accrington to keep that poor home form going by beating Sutton in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawAccrington Stanley
45.97% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 24.88% (-0.012 -0.01) 29.15% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.56% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.62% (0.039999999999999 0.04)47.38% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.4% (0.036000000000001 0.04)69.6% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34% (0.031999999999996 0.03)20.66% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.76% (0.049999999999997 0.05)53.25% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)29.97% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)66.08% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 45.97%
    Accrington Stanley 29.15%
    Draw 24.87%
Sutton UnitedDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.88% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.92% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 45.97%
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.87%
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 29.15%

How you voted: Sutton vs Accrington

Sutton United
37.9%
Draw
17.2%
Accrington Stanley
44.8%
29
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Accrington
4-1
Sutton
Leigh (45+1' pen., 57'), Longelo-Mbule (63'), Pritchard (90+5')
Andrews (10'), Longelo-Mbule (49'), Savin (90')
Patrick (64')
Bouzanis (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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