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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
48.05% ( 0.1) | 25.69% ( 0.01) | 26.25% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 50.86% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.47% ( -0.12) | 52.53% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.81% ( -0.1) | 74.19% ( 0.1) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.13% ( -0) | 21.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.89% ( -0) | 55.11% |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.1% ( -0.16) | 34.9% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.36% ( -0.17) | 71.64% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 48.05% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 26.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 34 |
2 | Walsall | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 30 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 26 |
8 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
20 | Bromley | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 17 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 17 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
23 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
24 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
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