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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Newport County |
39.04% ( 0.01) | 28.05% ( 0) | 32.91% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.32% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.31% ( -0.01) | 58.69% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.77% ( -0.01) | 79.23% ( 0.01) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.76% ( 0) | 29.24% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.81% ( 0) | 65.19% ( -0) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.87% ( -0.01) | 33.13% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.27% ( -0.02) | 69.73% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 11.91% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 39.04% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.69% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.04% | 0-1 @ 10.7% 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |