Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 51.8%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.