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Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Crawley Town

Newport
0 - 4
Crawley


Charsley (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Conroy (1'), Darcy (26'), Maguire (69'), Campbell (90+1')
Addai (17'), Williams (45+4'), Roles (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Newport County and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 2-1 Newport
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Doncaster
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-1 Crawley Town

 There should be plenty of urgency from both sides given that each are still in the hunt for a playoff berth, but we do not believe either team will have a decisive edge on Monday, seeing as only four points currently separate them in the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawCrawley Town
36.43% (0.058 0.06) 24.07% (0.004999999999999 0) 39.49% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Both teams to score 61.12% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.7% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)41.29% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)63.69% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (0.022000000000006 0.02)22.58% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82% (0.033000000000001 0.03)56.18% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)21.05% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.14% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)53.86% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 36.43%
    Crawley Town 39.49%
    Draw 24.07%
Newport CountyDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.07% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.26% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.61% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 36.43%
1-1 @ 11.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.32% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 39.49%

How you voted: Newport vs Crawley

Newport County
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
Crawley Town
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Crawley
4-1
Newport
Tsaroulla (5'), Campbell (54', 67'), Gladwin (79')
Campbell (64'), Williams (90+7')
Bogle (10')
Bogle (90+7')
> Preview
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Newport
2-2
Crawley
Dolan (83'), Zanzala (90+2')
Telford (36', 67')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Crawley
2-1
Newport
Tilley (40'), Nadesan (57')
Moriah-Welsh (79')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Newport
1-2
Crawley
Waite (59')
Waite (19')
Nadesan (15'), Francillette (21')
> Preview
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Appiah (55')
Appiah (56'), Nadesan (77')
Telford (84')
Norman (11'), Clarke (74'), Upson (75'), Fisher (88'), Lewis (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018
> League Two Full Table


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