Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 36.11%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.27%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (12.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.