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Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Notts County
0 - 2
Wrexham


Crowley (28'), Jones (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lee (73'), Palmer (76')
Jones (7'), Mullin (37'), McClean (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Newport
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Sutton
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 3-2 Wrexham

Last season's two meetings between Notts County and Wrexham were won by the home side on the day, and we believe that the Magpies will make full use of home advantage to claim a narrow victory over the Welsh side . Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.51%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawWrexham
41.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 23.08% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 35.18% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 64.68% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.44% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)36.56% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.29% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)58.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.96% (0.007000000000005 0.01)18.04% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.06% (0.012 0.01)48.94% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)21.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)53.89% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 41.74%
    Wrexham 35.18%
    Draw 23.07%
Notts CountyDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 41.74%
1-1 @ 10.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 2%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.07%
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.6%
2-4 @ 1.37%
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 35.18%

How you voted: Notts County vs Wrexham

Notts County
76.9%
Draw
7.7%
Wrexham
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 43
Wrexham
3-2
Notts County
Mullin (48'), Mendy (69'), Lee (78')
Bostock (45+4'), Cameron (75')
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Notts County
3-1
Wrexham
Wootton (10' pen., 39'), Richardson (67')
Cameron (17'), Smith (49'), Lacey (75')
Hall-Johnson (4')
Hosannah (21'), Tozer (68'), Hayden (68')
Lennon (9')
Aug 30, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Wrexham
1-1
Notts County
Mullin (53')
Davies (65')
Wootton (44')
Francis (52'), O'Brien (55'), Roberts (64'), Rodrigues (85')
May 18, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Wrexham
0-1
Notts County

Omotayo (75')
Reeves (27')
Rodrigues (24'), Wootton (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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