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Championship header 2

League Two
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Sutton United

Wrexham
2 - 1
Sutton

Mullin (14'), Lee (89')
Tunnicliffe (89'), Mullin (90+4'), McClean (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
O'Brien (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Wrexham
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 4-1 Sutton United

 While showing some inconsistent form, Wrexham have been free-scoring at home, something that has remained constant from last season's success. Sutton are really struggling, and it would be a major turn-up if they were to take anything from this one against one of the favourites for promotion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 14.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 3-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawSutton United
67.68% (0.96000000000001 0.96) 17.68% (-0.264 -0.26) 14.64% (-0.691 -0.69)
Both teams to score 59.1% (-0.833 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.3% (-0.235 -0.23)32.7% (0.239 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.63% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)54.37% (0.276 0.28)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.12% (0.15599999999999 0.16)8.88% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.62% (0.36999999999999 0.37)30.39% (-0.364 -0.36)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.86% (-1.024 -1.02)35.14% (1.029 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.11% (-1.086 -1.09)71.89% (1.091 1.09)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 67.68%
    Sutton United 14.64%
    Draw 17.68%
WrexhamDrawSutton United
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.15% (0.242 0.24)
3-1 @ 7.72% (0.046 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.148 0.15)
3-0 @ 7.38% (0.246 0.25)
4-1 @ 4.67% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 4.47% (0.179 0.18)
3-2 @ 4.04% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.44% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.26% (0.044 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.16% (0.101 0.1)
5-2 @ 1.18% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.91% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 67.68%
1-1 @ 7.9% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-0 @ 3.12% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 17.68%
1-2 @ 4.13% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-1 @ 3.26% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 14.64%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Sutton

Wrexham
100%
Draw
0.0%
Sutton United
0.0%
28
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 5.20pm
Gameweek 36
Sutton
0-0
Wrexham
Eastmond (45')
Young (44'), Hall-Johnson (55'), Davies (85')
Nov 24, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Wrexham
4-0
Sutton
Thomas (27', 78'), Harris (42'), Yussuf (73')
Vassell (70')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 31
Sutton
3-1
Wrexham
Bugiel (12', 36', 66' pen.)
Bugiel (19'), Davis (45')
Jennings (90')
Sep 14, 2019 5.20pm
Gameweek 14
Wrexham
1-1
Sutton
Grant (88' pen.)
Young (61')
Beautyman (63')
Butler (88'), Bolarinwa (89'), Ajiboye (92')
Eastmond (86')
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 54
Wrexham
1-0
Sutton
Kennedy (78')
Young (71')

Eastmond (10')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2671273028233
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2784152338-1528
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018
> League Two Full Table


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