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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Mansfield Town

Notts County
1 - 4
Mansfield

Crowley (3')
McGoldrick (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Reed (24'), Cargill (70'), Flint (74'), Akins (81')
Cargill (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Derby
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Mansfield Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 3-2 Doncaster
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Notts County 1-1 Mansfield Town

 Notts County have won every single home match they have played so far this season, but Mansfield Town remain undefeated in all competitions. Given that the Stags also have a very good defensive record, we do not expect Saturday's game to be a high-scoring affair, and it could end up finishing as a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Notts County win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawMansfield Town
34.49% (0.353 0.35) 23.29% (-0.023 -0.02) 42.22% (-0.325 -0.32)
Both teams to score 63.67% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.19% (0.21400000000001 0.21)37.8% (-0.21100000000001 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.94% (0.226 0.23)60.05% (-0.223 -0.22)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99% (0.288 0.29)22.01% (-0.285 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.68% (0.431 0.43)55.32% (-0.427 -0.43)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.64% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)18.36% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.52% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)49.48% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 34.49%
    Mansfield Town 42.22%
    Draw 23.28%
Notts CountyDrawMansfield Town
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.63% (0.031999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 34.49%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.04% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.9% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.28%
1-2 @ 8.79% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.8% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.76% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.28% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.1% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 42.22%

How you voted: Notts County vs Mansfield

Notts County
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Mansfield Town
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2019 1pm
Gameweek 33
Notts County
1-0
Mansfield
Mackail-Smith (19')
Stead (32'), Boldewijn (81')

Turner (6'), Mellis (59'), Pearce (85')
Dec 8, 2018 1pm
Gameweek 21
Mansfield
2-0
Notts County
Hamilton (37', 63')
Elsnik (62'), Mellis (73'), Atkinson (90')

Turley (32'), Hewitt (76'), Dennis (89')
Mar 17, 2018 1pm
Notts County
1-1
Mansfield
Hawkridge (35')
Hewitt (98')
Hemmings (99' pen.)
Atkinson (53'), Benning (73'), MacDonald (88')
Oct 24, 2017 7.45pm
-
Notts County
1-2
Mansfield
Smith (34')
Smith (74')
Angol (1'), Hamilton (73')
Mellis (34')
Sep 30, 2017 1pm
Mansfield
3-1
Notts County
Rose (47', 59'), Duffy (63' og.)
Hemmings (60')
Dickinson (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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