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Aldershot Town
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Barnet
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Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
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Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
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Southend United
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Yeovil Town
Notts County
National League | Gameweek 13
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Notts County
1 - 0
Wrexham

Langstaff (13')
Slocombe (60'), Langstaff (70'), Brindley (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tozer (61'), Lee (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Notts County and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Altrincham
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in National League

We said: Notts County 1-1 Wrexham

It is too difficult to split the two teams with them both in such good form and Notts County undefeated so far at Meadow Lane. As a result, we have this one as a draw, which would see Wrexham remain at the top of the National League table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Notts County in this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawWrexham
44.07% (-2.792 -2.79) 26.05% (0.591 0.59) 29.88% (2.204 2.2)
Both teams to score 52.22% (-0.458 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.06% (-1.246 -1.25)51.94% (1.248 1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.32% (-1.087 -1.09)73.68% (1.091 1.09)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (-1.819 -1.82)23.46% (1.823 1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53% (-2.714 -2.71)57.47% (2.717 2.72)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (1 1)31.78% (-0.996 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (1.132 1.13)68.21% (-1.128 -1.13)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 44.07%
    Wrexham 29.88%
    Draw 26.05%
Notts CountyDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 10.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.285 -0.29)
2-0 @ 7.84% (-0.473 -0.47)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.388 -0.39)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.453 -0.45)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.236 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.25 -0.25)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 44.07%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.364 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 8.55% (0.635 0.64)
1-2 @ 7.1% (0.349 0.35)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.487 0.49)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.203 0.2)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.045 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.231 0.23)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 29.88%

How you voted: Notts County vs Wrexham

Notts County
48.0%
Draw
16.0%
Wrexham
36.0%
25
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2022 3pm
Notts County
3-1
Wrexham
Wootton (10' pen., 39'), Richardson (67')
Cameron (17'), Smith (49'), Lacey (75')
Hall-Johnson (4')
Hosannah (21'), Tozer (68'), Hayden (68')
Lennon (9')
Aug 30, 2021 7.30pm
Wrexham
1-1
Notts County
Mullin (53')
Davies (65')
Wootton (44')
Francis (52'), O'Brien (55'), Roberts (64'), Rodrigues (85')
May 18, 2021 7pm
Apr 2, 2021 12.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City1610512891935
2Forest Green RoversForest Green16104229131634
3Barnet16110534201433
4Gateshead1610332819933
5Oldham AthleticOldham168622517830
6Rochdale1683525151027
7Yeovil TownYeovil167452015525
8Solihull MoorsSolihull167362325-224
9AltrinchamAltrincham166552320323
10Halifax TownHalifax166551816223
11Eastleigh166552423123
12Sutton UnitedSutton166462424022
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red165652617921
14Southend UnitedSouthend165652019121
15Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool165651516-121
16Tamworth166371927-821
17Aldershot TownAldershot164662125-418
18Woking164571823-517
19Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead164482026-616
20Fylde164392036-1615
21Braintree TownBraintree163491119-813
22WealdstoneWealdstone162681425-1112
23Boston UnitedBoston1624101529-1410
24Ebbsfleet1614111436-227


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