Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Notts County in this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Wrexham |
44.07% ( -2.79) | 26.05% ( 0.59) | 29.88% ( 2.2) |
Both teams to score 52.22% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.06% ( -1.25) | 51.94% ( 1.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.32% ( -1.09) | 73.68% ( 1.09) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.54% ( -1.82) | 23.46% ( 1.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.53% ( -2.71) | 57.47% ( 2.72) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.22% ( 1) | 31.78% ( -1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.79% ( 1.13) | 68.21% ( -1.13) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.39) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.45) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.97% Total : 44.07% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.64) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.49) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 57 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
3 | York City | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 45 |
6 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 41 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
15 | Tamworth | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 12 |
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