Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.