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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Mansfield Town |
40.88% ( -0.56) | 24.82% ( -0.1) | 34.3% ( 0.66) |
Both teams to score 58.05% ( 0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.87% ( 0.62) | 45.13% ( -0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.52% ( 0.59) | 67.48% ( -0.59) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.95% ( -0) | 22.05% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.62% ( -0) | 55.39% ( 0.01) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.46% ( 0.69) | 25.54% ( -0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.61% ( 0.93) | 60.4% ( -0.93) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Mansfield Town |
2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 40.88% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.82% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 58 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 49 |
3 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 47 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 47 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 45 |
7 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
8 | Salford City | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 43 |
9 | Chesterfield | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 39 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Bromley | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 35 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
16 | Swindon TownSwindon | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Gillingham | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 31 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 29 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 29 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 27 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
> League Two Full Table |