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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 24.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Mansfield Town |
24.6% ( -0.31) | 24.13% ( -0.05) | 51.27% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 54.18% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.59% ( -0.08) | 47.41% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.37% ( -0.07) | 69.62% ( 0.07) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.48% ( -0.31) | 33.52% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.84% ( -0.34) | 70.16% ( 0.34) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.5% ( 0.11) | 18.49% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.29% ( 0.19) | 49.71% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.33% Total : 24.6% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.12% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 5.43% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 51.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
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