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Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 21
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
MK Dons

Mansfield
1 - 2
MK Dons

Quinn (15')
Cargill (45+2'), Boateng (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gilbey (20'), Dennis (54')
Dennis (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 2 at 12.45pm in League Two

We said: Mansfield Town 3-1 MK Dons

Mansfield are in sensational form at the One Call Stadium of late and should be very confident of extending their winning run at the venue to four matches. MK Dons will still be reeling from their last-gasp loss at Wimbledon on the weekend, and a trip to the league leaders is not the ideal opportunity to bounce back. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 57.14%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 22.15% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.66%) and 1-0 (7.23%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawMK Dons
57.14% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 20.71% (0.0019999999999989 0) 22.15% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 62.99% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.61% (0.016000000000005 0.02)34.39% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.69% (0.018000000000001 0.02)56.3% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.55% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)37.44%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (0.025000000000006 0.03)28.41% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (0.033000000000001 0.03)64.16% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 57.14%
    MK Dons 22.15%
    Draw 20.71%
Mansfield TownDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 4.29% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 3.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 57.14%
1-1 @ 9.1% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 20.71%
1-2 @ 5.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 22.15%

How you voted: Mansfield vs MK Dons

Mansfield Town
84.6%
Draw
7.7%
MK Dons
7.7%
26
Head to Head
May 4, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 46
MK Dons
1-0
Mansfield
Wheeler (2')
Nicholls (63'), Aneke (89')

MacDonald (81'), Logan (95'), Mellis (97')
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Mansfield
1-1
MK Dons
Mellis (17')
Sweeney (13'), Benning (52')
Houghton (24')
Brittain (81'), Aneke (85'), Watson (90')
Jul 21, 2015 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Mansfield
1-1
MK Dons
Thomas (45')
Powell (58')
Jan 1, 2008 3pm
Oct 2, 2007 3pm
Mansfield
1-2
MK Dons
Boulding (29')
Buxton (42'), John-Baptiste (73')
Stirling (83'), Dyer (72')
Stirling (34'), Knight (50'), Andrews (79'), Swailes (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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