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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Gillingham

Wrexham
2 - 0
Gillingham

Palmer (1'), Tozer (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Wrexham 3-1 Gillingham

Goals have been at a premium for Gillingham away from home so far this season, but they will hope to have more joy in the final third against a leaky Wrexham backline on Saturday. The Red Dragons should ultimately have enough quality in attack to outscore their opponents, though, en route to claiming maximum points in Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawGillingham
56.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 21.53% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 21.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 58.98% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.78% (0.0019999999999953 0)39.22% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.45%61.55% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.38% (0.0019999999999953 0)13.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.77% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.27% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)31.72% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.85% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)68.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 56.96%
    Gillingham 21.5%
    Draw 21.53%
WrexhamDrawGillingham
2-1 @ 9.86%
1-0 @ 8.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.76%
4-1 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.84%
4-2 @ 1.88%
5-1 @ 1.3%
5-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 56.96%
1-1 @ 9.89%
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.32%
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.53%
1-2 @ 5.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.96%
0-2 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 21.5%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Gillingham

Wrexham
100%
Draw
0.0%
Gillingham
0.0%
15
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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