League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
We said: Wrexham 2-1 Mansfield Town
This promises to be a closely contested game due to how much is on the line when it comes to the League Two promotion battle, and their previous encounters this season have showcased that there is little to split them.
However, with Wrexham boasting a home advantage and the confidence that Mansfield has been unable to beat them this season, it could be Parkinson's men that edges this one.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 41.43% . A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.39%) . The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-2 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result Wrexham Draw Mansfield Town 41.43% ( -0.16) 24.51% ( 0.08) 34.05% ( 0.08)
Both teams to score 59.05% ( -0.27)
56.21% ( -0.36) 43.79% ( 0.36)
33.82% ( -0.35) 66.18% ( 0.35)
78.79% ( -0.23) 21.21% ( 0.23)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.89% ( -0.36) 54.1% ( 0.35)
74.95% ( -0.13) 25.05% ( 0.12)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.27% ( -0.17) 59.73% ( 0.17)
Wrexham 41.43%
Mansfield Town 34.05%
Draw 24.51%
Wrexham Draw Mansfield Town 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 41.43% 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.51% 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.05%
How you voted: Wrexham vs Mansfield
Wrexham
Draw
Mansfield Town
21
rhs 2.0
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