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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Salford City |
40.14% ( -0.8) | 25.4% ( 0.08) | 34.46% ( 0.72) |
Both teams to score 56.03% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.24% ( -0.2) | 47.76% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.05% ( -0.18) | 69.95% ( 0.18) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.43% ( -0.49) | 23.57% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.37% ( -0.71) | 57.63% ( 0.71) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.31% ( 0.34) | 26.69% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.05% ( 0.45) | 61.95% ( -0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.04% Total : 40.14% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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