Aberystwyth

0 - 3

Pen-y-Bont

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 69.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 11.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.47%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.