MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 17:49:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
1 - 2
Pen-y-Bont

Thorn (90+3')
Owen (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Reynolds (48', 59')
Kircough (83'), Evans (90+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 3-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, September 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 3-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawPen-y-Bont
20.03% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 23.62% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 56.35% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.76% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)50.23% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)72.19% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.53% (0.015999999999998 0.02)39.46% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.84% (0.012999999999998 0.01)76.16% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)17.64% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.75% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)48.25% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 20.03%
    Pen-y-Bont 56.33%
    Draw 23.62%
Aberystwyth TownDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 6.47% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.22% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 3.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 20.03%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 23.62%
0-1 @ 12.07%
0-2 @ 10.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.63% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-4 @ 2.63% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 56.33%

Head to Head
Jan 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Aberystwyth
0-3
Pen-y-Bont
Reffell (24'), Georgievsky (38'), Rimmer (64' og.)
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Pen-y-Bont
3-1
Aberystwyth
Borge (26'), Wood (39' pen.), Owen (83')
Flint (34' pen.)
Jan 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Pen-y-Bont
4-0
Aberystwyth
Ahmun (8', 15', 20'), Wood (77')
Evans (60')

Owen (52'), Rimmer (90')
Darlington (60')
Oct 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 10
Aberystwyth
0-3
Pen-y-Bont

Jones (29'), Jenkins (90+1')
Waite (16', 49'), Watts (34')
Jefferies (90+2')
Mar 27, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Aberystwyth
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
Franklin (33')
Williams (49'), Owen (72'), Owen (77'), Roberts (80'), Thorn (82')
Owen (90+4')
Davies (59')
Snaith (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!