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Serie A
Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Empoli logo

AC Milan
1 - 0
Empoli

Pulisic (40')
Reijnders (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fazzini (24'), Pezzella (53'), Zurkowski (65'), Cancellieri (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 4-2 Slavia Prague
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa League

Empoli

All competitions
Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Cagliari
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Empoli

 Now capable of scoring via a number of different sources, Milan should be able to rotate their squad between European contests and still take maximum points against Empoli. The Azzurri are much improved under Davide Nicola, but they must take a step-up in class on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 16.42%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawEmpoli
63.06% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 20.51% (0.053999999999998 0.05) 16.42% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.09% (-0.124 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.46% (-0.198 -0.2)42.53% (0.199 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.06% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)64.94% (0.19800000000001 0.2)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.13% (-0.080999999999989 -0.08)12.86% (0.083 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.75% (-0.173 -0.17)39.25% (0.174 0.17)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.93% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)39.07% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.21% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)75.79% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 63.05%
    Empoli 16.42%
    Draw 20.51%
AC MilanDrawEmpoli
2-0 @ 10.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.3% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 7.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.79% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.7% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 63.05%
1-1 @ 9.69% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.51%
0-1 @ 4.72% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.55% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 16.42%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Empoli

AC Milan
87.5%
Draw
7.3%
Empoli
5.2%
96
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2024 11.30am
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0-3
AC Milan

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0-0
Empoli
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AC Milan
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Empoli
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> Preview
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Empoli
2-4
AC Milan
Bajrami (18'), Pinamonti (84' pen.)
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> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
2Napoli18132327121541
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1811253325835
5Fiorentina1795331151632
6Juventus18711030151532
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese187382328-524
10Roma185582424020
11Torino185581924-520
12Empoli184771721-419
13Genoa184771627-1119
14Parma184682534-918
15Como184682030-1018
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1860122442-1818
17Lecce1844101131-2016
18CagliariCagliari1835101631-1514
19VeneziaVenezia1834111731-1413
20Monza1817101625-910
> Serie A Full Table


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