Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Empoli |
65.77% ( 0.05) | 20.46% ( -0.01) | 13.77% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 46.8% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.41% ( -0.04) | 47.59% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.21% ( -0.03) | 69.79% ( 0.04) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.36% ( 0) | 13.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.19% ( 0) | 40.81% |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.19% ( -0.07) | 45.81% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.43% ( -0.06) | 81.57% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Empoli |
1-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 65.76% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 20.46% | 0-1 @ 4.88% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.22% Total : 13.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
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