Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Empoli |
65.77% ( 0.05) | 20.46% ( -0.01) | 13.77% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 46.8% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.41% ( -0.04) | 47.59% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.21% ( -0.03) | 69.79% ( 0.04) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.36% ( 0) | 13.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.19% ( 0) | 40.81% |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.19% ( -0.07) | 45.81% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.43% ( -0.06) | 81.57% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Empoli |
1-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 65.76% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 20.46% | 0-1 @ 4.88% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.22% Total : 13.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Lecce | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 23 |
14 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
15 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
17 | Parma | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
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