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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
San Siro
Empoli logo

AC Milan
1 - 0
Empoli

Kalulu (19')
Tonali (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Empoli

Only 18th-placed Venezia have conceded more shots on target than Empoli's total of 162 in Serie A this season, so an opportunity surely presents itself for Milan to stretch their lead in the standings. The hosts' scoring rate may have dipped in recent weeks, but Leao and Giroud have been in impressive form, with 'King Zlatan' also bringing his charismatic presence to bear on the bench. Therefore, Empoli's winless run will roll on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.95%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawEmpoli
66.57%19.47%13.95%
Both teams to score 50.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.1%42.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7%65.29%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.01%11.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.59%37.41%
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.38%42.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.03%78.96%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 66.56%
    Empoli 13.95%
    Draw 19.47%
AC MilanDrawEmpoli
2-0 @ 11.49%
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 9.8%
3-0 @ 8.13%
3-1 @ 6.93%
4-0 @ 4.31%
4-1 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 2.96%
5-0 @ 1.83%
4-2 @ 1.57%
5-1 @ 1.56%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 66.56%
1-1 @ 9.24%
0-0 @ 5.11%
2-2 @ 4.18%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 19.47%
0-1 @ 4.36%
1-2 @ 3.94%
0-2 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.19%
1-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 13.95%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Empoli

AC Milan
90.8%
Draw
7.1%
Empoli
2.0%
98
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
Empoli
2-4
AC Milan
Bajrami (18'), Pinamonti (84' pen.)
Romagnoli (62')
Kessie (12', 42'), Florenzi (63'), Hernandez (69')
Tonali (39'), Bennacer (80')
Feb 22, 2019 7.30pm
Sep 27, 2018 8pm
Empoli
1-1
AC Milan
Caputo (71' pen.)
Maietta (53'), Capezzi (55')
Capezzi (10' og.)
Calabria (45'), Laxalt (83')
Apr 23, 2017 2pm
AC Milan
1-2
Empoli
Lapadula (72')
Sosa (21'), De Sciglio (48')
Mchedlidze (40'), Baba Thiam (67')
Baba Thiam (56'), Tello (82'), El Kaddouri (89'), Bellusci (90')
Nov 26, 2016 7.45pm
Empoli
1-4
AC Milan
Saponara (17')
Krunic (37'), Bellusci (89')
Lapadula (15', 78'), Suso (61'), Costa (64' og.)
Romagnoli (4'), Kucka (31'), Bonaventura (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Napoli371313115548752
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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