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Monza
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Venezia
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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
San Siro
Empoli logo

AC Milan
1 - 0
Empoli

Kalulu (19')
Tonali (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Empoli

Only 18th-placed Venezia have conceded more shots on target than Empoli's total of 162 in Serie A this season, so an opportunity surely presents itself for Milan to stretch their lead in the standings. The hosts' scoring rate may have dipped in recent weeks, but Leao and Giroud have been in impressive form, with 'King Zlatan' also bringing his charismatic presence to bear on the bench. Therefore, Empoli's winless run will roll on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.95%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawEmpoli
66.57%19.47%13.95%
Both teams to score 50.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.1%42.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7%65.29%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.01%11.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.59%37.41%
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.38%42.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.03%78.96%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 66.56%
    Empoli 13.95%
    Draw 19.47%
AC MilanDrawEmpoli
2-0 @ 11.49%
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 9.8%
3-0 @ 8.13%
3-1 @ 6.93%
4-0 @ 4.31%
4-1 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 2.96%
5-0 @ 1.83%
4-2 @ 1.57%
5-1 @ 1.56%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 66.56%
1-1 @ 9.24%
0-0 @ 5.11%
2-2 @ 4.18%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 19.47%
0-1 @ 4.36%
1-2 @ 3.94%
0-2 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.19%
1-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 13.95%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Empoli

AC Milan
90.8%
Draw
7.1%
Empoli
2.0%
98
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
Empoli
2-4
AC Milan
Bajrami (18'), Pinamonti (84' pen.)
Romagnoli (62')
Kessie (12', 42'), Florenzi (63'), Hernandez (69')
Tonali (39'), Bennacer (80')
Feb 22, 2019 7.30pm
Sep 27, 2018 8pm
Empoli
1-1
AC Milan
Caputo (71' pen.)
Maietta (53'), Capezzi (55')
Capezzi (10' og.)
Calabria (45'), Laxalt (83')
Apr 23, 2017 2pm
AC Milan
1-2
Empoli
Lapadula (72')
Sosa (21'), De Sciglio (48')
Mchedlidze (40'), Baba Thiam (67')
Baba Thiam (56'), Tello (82'), El Kaddouri (89'), Bellusci (90')
Nov 26, 2016 7.45pm
Empoli
1-4
AC Milan
Saponara (17')
Krunic (37'), Bellusci (89')
Lapadula (15', 78'), Suso (61'), Costa (64' og.)
Romagnoli (4'), Kucka (31'), Bonaventura (43')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta19133343202342
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7AC Milan187742718928
8Bologna177732521428
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma196582624223
11Torino205782025-522
12Empoli204881925-620
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma194782534-919
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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