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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
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Bromley
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Chesterfield
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Fleetwood Town
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MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Grimsby Town

Accrington
3 - 2
Grimsby Town

Woods (9', 82'), Whalley (60' pen.)
Love (35'), Coyle (44'), Henderson (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Green (5'), Khouri (39')
Khouri (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Accrington
Sunday, December 29 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-0 Port Vale
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 0-2 Grimsby Town

Accrington have been struggling since their loss in the reverse fixture, and are not likely to fare any better on Wednesday. Grimsby will be keen to keep up with the pack of clubs fighting for the automatic promotion spot behind Walsall, and it is difficult to picture anything other than a routine win for the visitors on New Year's Day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawGrimsby Town
32.32% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14) 26.44% (-0.169 -0.17) 41.24% (0.306 0.31)
Both teams to score 52.03% (0.485 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.35% (0.641 0.64)52.65% (-0.642 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.7% (0.547 0.55)74.3% (-0.54599999999999 -0.55)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (0.229 0.23)30.45% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (0.27200000000001 0.27)66.66% (-0.273 -0.27)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81% (0.45 0.45)25.19% (-0.452 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08% (0.617 0.62)59.91% (-0.619 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 32.32%
    Grimsby Town 41.24%
    Draw 26.43%
Accrington StanleyDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.42% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.96% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 32.32%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.67% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 10.57% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.99% (0.079 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.35% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.045 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 41.24%

How you voted: Accrington vs Grimsby Town

Accrington Stanley
30.3%
Draw
18.2%
Grimsby Town
51.5%
33
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Grimsby Town
5-2
Accrington
Rodgers (2'), Luker (11'), Obikwu (19'), Davies (33' pen.), Aljofree (68' og.)
Henderson (63'), Woods (79')
Khumbeni (31'), Love (40'), Hunter (89'), Hunter (90+3'), O'Brien (90+4')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Accrington
0-0
Grimsby Town
Woods (49')
Hume (79')
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Grimsby Town
0-2
Accrington

Waterfall (17')
Waterfall (72')
Whalley (74'), Andrews (82')
Leigh (51'), Martin (66')
Nov 22, 2022 7.30pm
Second Round
Grimsby Town
0-1
Accrington
Leigh (66' pen.)
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Grimsby Town
0-3
Accrington

Davies (22'), Matt (73')
Kee (56' pen.), McConville (61'), Jackson (77')
Jackson (31'), Brown (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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