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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Accrington Stanley has a probability of 36.2% and a draw has a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win is 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.25%).
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
37.97% ( -1.77) | 25.82% ( 0.26) | 36.2% ( 1.51) |
Both teams to score 54.82% ( -0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.58% ( -0.97) | 49.42% ( 0.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.54% ( -0.88) | 71.46% ( 0.87) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.53% ( -1.38) | 25.46% ( 1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.7% ( -1.93) | 60.29% ( 1.93) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.54% ( 0.43) | 26.46% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.36% ( 0.57) | 61.63% ( -0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.97% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.37) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.22% Total : 36.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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