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La Liga
Alaves logo
La Liga | Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Villarreal logo

Alaves
1 - 1
Villarreal

Omorodion (25')
Garcia (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cuenca (42')
Cuenca (44'), Sorloth (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 1-3 Barcelona
Saturday, February 3 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Villarreal

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 0-0 Cadiz
Sunday, February 4 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 1-1 Villarreal

 Alaves found it difficult against Barcelona last time out, but their recent form has been strong, and Villarreal are not exactly having a brilliant season. We are expecting this contest to be very tight and are struggling to separate them, which has led to us backing a low-scoring draw on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
AlavesDrawVillarreal
40.9% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04) 25.6% (0.0030000000000001 0) 33.49% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.11% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)48.84% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)70.94% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.34% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)23.66% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.24% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)57.76% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (0.019999999999996 0.02)27.8% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (0.022999999999996 0.02)63.39% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 40.9%
    Villarreal 33.49%
    Draw 25.6%
AlavesDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 40.9%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 33.49%

How you voted: Alaves vs Villarreal

Alaves
42.9%
Draw
22.9%
Villarreal
34.3%
35
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Villarreal
1-1
Alaves
Moreno (65' pen.)
Pedraza (9'), Sorloth (23'), Femenia (35'), Comesana (58')
Omorodion (48')
Guevara (14'), Sivera (33'), Abqar (36')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 34
Alaves
2-1
Villarreal
Laguardia (4'), Escalante (31')
Garcia (52'), Escalante (69'), Laguardia (80'), Duarte (90+2'), Jason (90+5')
Chukwueze (47')
Dia (41'), Capoue (76'), Emery (86')
> Preview
Dec 21, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 4
Villarreal
5-2
Alaves
Moreno (18', 88'), Dia (27', 76'), Pino (79')
Pons (44'), Joselu (65')
N'Diaye (45+1'), Calleja (45+1'), Lopez (49')
> Preview
Apr 21, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 31
Alaves
2-1
Villarreal
Joselu (17'), Mendez (80')
Garcia (69'), Mendez (74')
Alcacer (50')
Pedraza (63')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 4
Villarreal
3-1
Alaves
Alcacer (13', 67'), Moreno (45' pen.)
Mendez (36')
Laguardia (74'), Navarro (82')
(89')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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