Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Villarreal |
40.9% ( -0.04) | 25.6% ( 0) | 33.49% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.11% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.16% ( -0) | 48.84% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.06% ( -0) | 70.94% ( 0) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.34% ( -0.02) | 23.66% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.24% ( -0.03) | 57.76% ( 0.03) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.19% ( 0.02) | 27.8% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.6% ( 0.02) | 63.39% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 40.9% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 33.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 74 | 43 | 31 | 79 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 57 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 38 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |