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La Liga
Alaves logo
La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Cadiz logo

Alaves
1 - 0
Cadiz

Rioja (51' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

Guardiola (22'), Alejo (49'), Pires (50'), Fali (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves
Tuesday, January 16 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Cadiz

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 1-4 Valencia
Sunday, January 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 1-0 Cadiz

 Alaves have been impressive in their last two league matches, and we are backing the home side to pick up another positive result here. It would not be a surprise to see a draw, as Cadiz have shared the points in nine of their 20 league matches this season, but Alaves should have enough to shade this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 22.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.

Result
AlavesDrawCadiz
50.13% (0.343 0.34) 27.5% (-0.147 -0.15) 22.37% (-0.196 -0.2)
Both teams to score 42.31% (0.16 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.24% (0.315 0.31)61.76% (-0.315 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.44% (0.232 0.23)81.56% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (0.303 0.3)24.9% (-0.305 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.48% (0.41999999999999 0.42)59.52% (-0.421 -0.42)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.34% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)43.66% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.16% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)79.84% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 50.12%
    Cadiz 22.37%
    Draw 27.49%
AlavesDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 15.11% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.5% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.87% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.04% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 50.12%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.86% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.61% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 27.49%
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.37%

How you voted: Alaves vs Cadiz

Alaves
67.2%
Draw
23.0%
Cadiz
9.8%
61
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 1
Cadiz
1-0
Alaves
Fede (7')
Hernandez (67'), Sobrino (75'), Fali (84')
Escalante (88')

Sedlar (48'), Duarte (52')
> Preview
May 22, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 38
Alaves
0-1
Cadiz
Lozano (76')
Hernandez (27')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 10
Cadiz
0-2
Alaves
Joselu (6' pen., 90+1')
Miazga (27'), Navarro (67')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 27
Alaves
1-1
Cadiz
Joselu (36' pen.)
Pina (70'), Garcia (80')
Garcia (81')
Alex (84' pen.)
Salvi (34'), Perea (41'), Fali (74'), Saponjic (90+2')
> Preview
Jan 10, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 18
Cadiz
3-1
Alaves
Alex (15'), Lozano (56'), Negredo (68')
Fali (22'), Perea (82')
Joselu (23' pen.)
Pina (40'), Deyverson (44'), Tachi (45+2')
Tachi (50')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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