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La Liga
Alaves logo
La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Cadiz logo

Alaves
1 - 0
Cadiz

Rioja (51' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

Guardiola (22'), Alejo (49'), Pires (50'), Fali (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves
Tuesday, January 16 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Cadiz

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 1-4 Valencia
Sunday, January 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 1-0 Cadiz

 Alaves have been impressive in their last two league matches, and we are backing the home side to pick up another positive result here. It would not be a surprise to see a draw, as Cadiz have shared the points in nine of their 20 league matches this season, but Alaves should have enough to shade this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 22.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.

Result
AlavesDrawCadiz
50.13% (0.343 0.34) 27.5% (-0.147 -0.15) 22.37% (-0.196 -0.2)
Both teams to score 42.31% (0.16 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.24% (0.315 0.31)61.76% (-0.315 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.44% (0.232 0.23)81.56% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (0.303 0.3)24.9% (-0.305 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.48% (0.41999999999999 0.42)59.52% (-0.421 -0.42)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.34% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)43.66% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.16% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)79.84% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 50.12%
    Cadiz 22.37%
    Draw 27.49%
AlavesDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 15.11% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.5% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.87% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.04% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 50.12%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.86% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.61% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 27.49%
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.37%

How you voted: Alaves vs Cadiz

Alaves
67.2%
Draw
23.0%
Cadiz
9.8%
61
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 1
Cadiz
1-0
Alaves
Fede (7')
Hernandez (67'), Sobrino (75'), Fali (84')
Escalante (88')

Sedlar (48'), Duarte (52')
> Preview
May 22, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 38
Alaves
0-1
Cadiz
Lozano (76')
Hernandez (27')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 10
Cadiz
0-2
Alaves
Joselu (6' pen., 90+1')
Miazga (27'), Navarro (67')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 27
Alaves
1-1
Cadiz
Joselu (36' pen.)
Pina (70'), Garcia (80')
Garcia (81')
Alex (84' pen.)
Salvi (34'), Perea (41'), Fali (74'), Saponjic (90+2')
> Preview
Jan 10, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 18
Cadiz
3-1
Alaves
Alex (15'), Lozano (56'), Negredo (68')
Fali (22'), Perea (82')
Joselu (23' pen.)
Pina (40'), Deyverson (44'), Tachi (45+2')
Tachi (50')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815
> La Liga Full Table


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