Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
37.25% ( -0.56) | 26.12% ( -0.04) | 36.62% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 53.81% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.29% ( 0.17) | 50.7% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.39% ( 0.15) | 72.6% ( -0.15) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.54% ( -0.23) | 26.46% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.36% ( -0.31) | 61.64% ( 0.31) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.17% ( 0.43) | 26.82% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.88% ( 0.56) | 62.12% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.25% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.12% Total : 36.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
9 | Rochdale | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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