National League | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Boundary Park
Oldham2 - 1Aldershot
Coverage of the National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Aldershot Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Southend 1-0 Oldham
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | York City | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Oldham Athletic | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 17 | Torquay United | 4 | -1 | 4 |
Last Game: Aldershot 0-1 Bromley
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Scunthorpe United | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 | Aldershot Town | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 23 | Yeovil Town | 4 | -2 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Aldershot Town |
46.09% ( 0.02) | 25.27% | 28.64% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.97% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
