We said: Argentina 3-0 Guatemala
It is very difficult to imagine any result other than a comfortable Argentina win. It was 3-0 when the two teams last locked horns in September 2018, and we are predicting the same scoreline here, as Argentina round off their preparations for what is shaping up to be a fascinating Copa America.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 68.25%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 12.85%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.