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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
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Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
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Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
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Ligue 1
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 18, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Toulouse

Monaco
1 - 2
Toulouse

Akliouche (48')
Zakaria (27')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sierro (41'), Costa (70')
Mawissa (65'), Donnum (82'), Restes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 2-3 Monaco
Sunday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Benfica 2-1 Toulouse
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Monaco 2-0 Toulouse

 Morale should be high in the Principality following that dazzling attacking display against Nice, and even without two key attacking pieces, we are tipping Monaco to defeat a side in Toulouse who have been far more inconsistent while lacking quality in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 58.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
MonacoDrawToulouse
58.93% (3.295 3.29) 21.5% (-1.281 -1.28) 19.56% (-2.017 -2.02)
Both teams to score 55.92% (1.116 1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (3 3)41.79% (-3.004 -3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (2.956 2.96)64.2% (-2.961 -2.96)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.14% (2.085 2.09)13.86% (-2.088 -2.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.74% (3.971 3.97)41.25% (-3.975 -3.97)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.91% (-0.286 -0.29)35.08% (0.28100000000001 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.17% (-0.297 -0.3)71.83% (0.292 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 58.93%
    Toulouse 19.56%
    Draw 21.5%
MonacoDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.073 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.61% (-0.571 -0.57)
2-0 @ 9.49% (0.141 0.14)
3-1 @ 6.55% (0.51 0.51)
3-0 @ 6.25% (0.531 0.53)
3-2 @ 3.43% (0.243 0.24)
4-1 @ 3.24% (0.463 0.46)
4-0 @ 3.09% (0.463 0.46)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.232 0.23)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.261 0.26)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.257 0.26)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 58.93%
1-1 @ 10.06% (-0.69 -0.69)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.687 -0.69)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.5%
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.404 -0.4)
0-1 @ 5.09% (-0.764 -0.76)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.424 -0.42)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 19.56%

How you voted: Monaco vs Toulouse

Monaco
74.5%
Draw
19.6%
Toulouse
5.9%
51
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Toulouse
1-2
Monaco
Magri (5')
Costa (45+3'), Donnum (52')
Ben Yedder (26', 44')
Salisu (3'), Hutter (4'), Diop (57'), Magassa (66')
Golovin (51')
> Preview
Jun 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Monaco
1-2
Toulouse
Ben Yedder (78')
Aguilar (12')
Aboukhlal (70'), Healey (90+4')
Sierro (58'), Healey (90+5')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 14
Toulouse
0-2
Monaco
Golovin (46'), Embolo (60')
> Preview
May 16, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 37
Monaco
P-P
Toulouse
Dec 4, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 16
Toulouse
1-2
Monaco
Sanogo (40' pen.)
Ben Yedder (5' pen.), Martins (84')
Glik (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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