MX23RW : Friday, November 8 09:34:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 18, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Toulouse

Monaco
1 - 2
Toulouse

Akliouche (48')
Zakaria (27')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sierro (41'), Costa (70')
Mawissa (65'), Donnum (82'), Restes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 2-3 Monaco
Sunday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Benfica 2-1 Toulouse
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Monaco 2-0 Toulouse

Morale should be high in the Principality following that dazzling attacking display against Nice, and even without two key attacking pieces, we are tipping Monaco to defeat a side in Toulouse who have been far more inconsistent while lacking quality in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 58.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
MonacoDrawToulouse
58.93% (3.295 3.29) 21.5% (-1.281 -1.28) 19.56% (-2.017 -2.02)
Both teams to score 55.92% (1.116 1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (3 3)41.79% (-3.004 -3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (2.956 2.96)64.2% (-2.961 -2.96)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.14% (2.085 2.09)13.86% (-2.088 -2.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.74% (3.971 3.97)41.25% (-3.975 -3.97)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.91% (-0.286 -0.29)35.08% (0.28100000000001 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.17% (-0.297 -0.3)71.83% (0.292 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 58.93%
    Toulouse 19.56%
    Draw 21.5%
MonacoDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.073 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.61% (-0.571 -0.57)
2-0 @ 9.49% (0.141 0.14)
3-1 @ 6.55% (0.51 0.51)
3-0 @ 6.25% (0.531 0.53)
3-2 @ 3.43% (0.243 0.24)
4-1 @ 3.24% (0.463 0.46)
4-0 @ 3.09% (0.463 0.46)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.232 0.23)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.261 0.26)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.257 0.26)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 58.93%
1-1 @ 10.06% (-0.69 -0.69)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.687 -0.69)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.5%
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.404 -0.4)
0-1 @ 5.09% (-0.764 -0.76)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.424 -0.42)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 19.56%

How you voted: Monaco vs Toulouse

Monaco
74.5%
Draw
19.6%
Toulouse
5.9%
51
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Toulouse
1-2
Monaco
Magri (5')
Costa (45+3'), Donnum (52')
Ben Yedder (26', 44')
Salisu (3'), Hutter (4'), Diop (57'), Magassa (66')
Golovin (51')
Jun 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Monaco
1-2
Toulouse
Ben Yedder (78')
Aguilar (12')
Aboukhlal (70'), Healey (90+4')
Sierro (58'), Healey (90+5')
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 14
Toulouse
0-2
Monaco
Golovin (46'), Embolo (60')
May 16, 2020 7pm
Dec 4, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 16
Toulouse
1-2
Monaco
Sanogo (40' pen.)
Ben Yedder (5' pen.), Martins (84')
Glik (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bengals
34-35
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!