Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Toulouse |
38.49% ( 0.26) | 26.76% ( 0.05) | 34.75% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 51.57% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.51% ( -0.21) | 53.49% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.99% ( -0.18) | 75.01% ( 0.18) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.93% ( 0.05) | 27.07% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.56% ( 0.06) | 62.44% ( -0.06) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.71% ( -0.29) | 29.29% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.75% ( -0.36) | 65.25% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Toulouse |
1-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.48% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 33 |
2 | Marseille | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 26 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Lille | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Lyon | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 22 |
6 | Nice | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 20 |
7 | Lens | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
8 | Auxerre | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Reims | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Toulouse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Brest | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 14 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 13 |
14 | Angers | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 13 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 30 | -19 | 13 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 12 |
17 | NantesNantes | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |