Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 20, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Estadi Johan Cruyff
Barcelona0 - 1Chelsea Women
The Match
Match Report
Chelsea make Women's Champions League history in a shock 1-0 semi-final first-leg win over holders Barcelona thanks to an Erin Cuthbert goal.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Champions League clash between Barcelona Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barcelona 3-1 Brann
Thursday, March 28 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Thursday, March 28 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-0 Aston Villa
Wednesday, April 17 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Wednesday, April 17 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Goals
for
for
53
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 80.9%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 7.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.68%), while for a Chelsea Women win it was 1-2 (2.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barcelona Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
80.9% ( 0.03) | 11.42% ( -0.01) | 7.67% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 59.71% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
79.07% ( 0.02) | 20.93% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
60.59% ( 0.02) | 39.4% ( -0.02) |
Barcelona Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.06% ( 0.01) | 3.93% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
83.34% ( 0.02) | 16.66% ( -0.02) |
Chelsea Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.16% ( -0.03) | 37.84% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.38% ( -0.03) | 74.61% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona Women 80.9%
Chelsea Women 7.67%
Draw 11.42%
Barcelona Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
3-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 8.17% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 6.61% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.82% ( -0) 5-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 4.28% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0) 4-2 @ 3.21% ( -0) 6-0 @ 2.37% ( 0) 6-1 @ 2.31% ( 0) 5-2 @ 2.08% 6-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) 7-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 3.82% Total : 80.9% | 1-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.49% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 11.42% | 1-2 @ 2.27% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 7.67% |
How you voted: Barcelona vs Chelsea Women
Barcelona Women
35.7%Draw
28.6%Chelsea Women
35.7%14
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2023 5.45pm
Apr 22, 2023 12.30pm
May 16, 2021 8pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
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