Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
Bayern2 - 2Real Madrid
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The Match
Match Report
Vinicius Junior scores twice to help Real Madrid rescue a 2-2 draw against Bayern Munich in the first leg of their Champions League semi-final at the Allianz Arena.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Real Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Bayern Munich could line up for Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg with Real Madrid.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Bayern Munich.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bayern 2-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, April 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-1 Real Madrid
Friday, April 26 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, April 26 at 8pm in La Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 53.12%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Real Madrid |
53.12% ( -0.12) | 21.9% ( 0.04) | 24.98% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 62.26% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
