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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.26%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 7.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 3-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.84%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | FC Koln |
81.26% ( 0.01) | 11.41% ( -0.01) | 7.33% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 57.56% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.62% ( 0.01) | 22.37% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
58.59% ( 0.01) | 41.4% ( -0.01) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.85% | 4.15% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.65% ( 0) | 17.34% ( -0.01) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.05% ( -0) | 39.95% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.39% ( -0) | 76.6% |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | FC Koln |
3-0 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 8.39% ( -0) 3-1 @ 8.17% 2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.08% ( 0) 4-1 @ 6.5% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.27% ( -0) 5-0 @ 4.51% ( 0) 5-1 @ 4.14% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.75% 4-2 @ 2.98% ( 0) 6-0 @ 2.39% ( 0) 6-1 @ 2.2% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.09% ( 0) 6-2 @ 1.01% 7-1 @ 1% 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.38% Total : 81.26% | 1-1 @ 4.84% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.66% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.24% Total : 11.41% | 1-2 @ 2.22% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 7.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
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