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Champions League header

Champions League
Real Madrid logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Leipzig logo

Real Madrid
1 - 1
RB Leipzig

Junior (65')
Junior (54'), Tchouameni (73'), Kroos (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Orban (68')
Schlager (20'), Raum (50'), Orban (71')

The Match

Match Report

Real Madrid book their spot in the quarter-finals of the Champions League courtesy of a 2-1 aggregate success over RB Leipzig.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and RB Leipzig.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Wednesday's Champions League last-16 second leg against RB Leipzig.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Real Madrid's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League last-16 second leg with RB Leipzig.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Valencia 2-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, March 2 at 8pm in La Liga

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-4 RB Leipzig
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.37%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 20.43% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.39%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (5.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Real MadridDrawRB Leipzig
59.37% (0.431 0.43) 20.2% (-0.189 -0.19) 20.43% (-0.235 -0.24)
Both teams to score 62.13% (0.311 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.66% (0.574 0.57)34.34% (-0.569 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.75% (0.645 0.65)56.25% (-0.638 -0.64)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.62% (0.29700000000001 0.3)11.38% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.9% (0.636 0.64)36.11% (-0.628 -0.63)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.11% (0.12100000000001 0.12)29.89% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.01% (0.142 0.14)65.99% (-0.136 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 59.37%
    RB Leipzig 20.43%
    Draw 20.2%
Real MadridDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.39% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-1 @ 7.03% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.82% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.24% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.82% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 3.16% (0.055 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.31% (0.055 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.66% (0.053 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.04 0.04)
5-2 @ 1% (0.036 0.04)
4-3 @ 0.93% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 59.37%
1-1 @ 8.93% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.4% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.2%
1-2 @ 5.39% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.11% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 20.43%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig

Real Madrid
85.1%
Draw
9.2%
RB Leipzig
5.7%
424
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
RB Leipzig
0-1
Real Madrid

Rose (45'), Simakan (53'), Poulsen (77'), Sesko (85')
Diaz (48')
Carvajal (66'), Junior (85')
> Match Report
Oct 25, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
RB Leipzig
3-2
Real Madrid
Gvardiol (13'), Nkunku (18'), Werner (81')
Junior (44'), Rodrygo (90+4' pen.)
> Preview
Sep 14, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Real Madrid
2-0
RB Leipzig
Valverde (80'), Asensio (90+1')
> Preview
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