Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Union Berlin1 - 5Bayern
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Augsburg 2-0 Union Berlin
Friday, April 12 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, April 12 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-0 Arsenal
Wednesday, April 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, April 17 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Union Berlin 1-3 Bayern Munich
While the pressure is on Union Berlin to pick up precious points in a bid to avoid the drop, Bayern are merely playing for pride, but Tuchel's men remain firm favourites to come out on top this weekend. Union Berlin's goal drought will be a concern for Bjelica, but even if they are to breach Bayern's backline, we believe that the visitors will find a way to outscore their opponents en route to claiming maximum points and consolidating second spot for at least another week. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 20.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 0-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Bayern Munich |
20.66% ( 0.21) | 20.83% ( 0.04) | 58.51% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 60.17% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
