Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica5 - 0Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Famalicao 2-0 Benfica
Sunday, May 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, May 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, May 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, May 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Benfica 2-3 Arouca
Benfica could come into the weekend's fixtures deflated having recently lost out on the league title. Considering this, as well as the fact that Arouca have been in great form under manager Sousa, the away side could take advantage. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 72.59%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 11.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-2 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Arouca |
72.59% ( -2.77) | 16.15% ( 1.53) | 11.26% ( 1.24) |
| Both teams to score 54.27% ( -1.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
