Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 29, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica1 - 0Chaves
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Benfica
Sunday, March 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, March 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 1-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, March 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, March 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Benfica 3-0 Chaves
While Chaves will be looking to find their feet this weekend, they are in for a tough 90 minutes against a significantly-superior Benfica side. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two sides, we are backing As Aguias to come away with a comfortable victory in front of their home supporters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 82.35%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 6.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.08%) and 4-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.42%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-2 (1.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Chaves |
82.35% ( -0.05) | 11.58% ( 0.03) | 6.06% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.83% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
