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Benfica
Taca da Liga | Quarter-Finals
Oct 30, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Santa Clara

Benfica
3 - 0
Santa Clara

di Maria (71'), Pavlidis (76', 80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Safira (29'), Soares (36'), Pereira (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca da Liga clash between Benfica and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 5-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, October 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 2-1 Gil Vicente
Friday, October 25 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 3-0 Santa Clara

Fresh off the back of an emphatic victory over Rio Ave, Benfica will head into the midweek clash with confidence as they look to launch their cup quest on a high. While we expect Lage to rest some big-name players, As Aguias boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to extend their dominance over Santa Clara. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 13.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.33%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
BenficaDrawSanta Clara
66.24% (-1.813 -1.81) 20.23% (0.983 0.98) 13.53% (0.831 0.83)
Both teams to score 46.9% (-0.807 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.88% (-2.356 -2.36)47.12% (2.357 2.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.65% (-2.232 -2.23)69.35% (2.233 2.23)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.65% (-1.227 -1.23)13.35% (1.229 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.76% (-2.53 -2.53)40.24% (2.53 2.53)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.12% (-0.162 -0.16)45.87% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.38% (-0.126 -0.13)81.62% (0.128 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 66.23%
    Santa Clara 13.53%
    Draw 20.23%
BenficaDrawSanta Clara
2-0 @ 12.41% (0.08 0.08)
1-0 @ 12.33% (0.64 0.64)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.33% (-0.343 -0.34)
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.298 -0.3)
4-0 @ 4.2% (-0.382 -0.38)
4-1 @ 3.27% (-0.314 -0.31)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.129 -0.13)
5-0 @ 1.69% (-0.243 -0.24)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.195 -0.2)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 66.23%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.456 0.46)
0-0 @ 6.13% (0.583 0.58)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 20.23%
0-1 @ 4.77% (0.435 0.44)
1-2 @ 3.74% (0.161 0.16)
0-2 @ 1.86% (0.162 0.16)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.97% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 13.53%

How you voted: Benfica vs Santa Clara

Benfica
91.8%
Draw
6.1%
Santa Clara
2.0%
49
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 5
Benfica
4-1
Santa Clara
Akturkoglu (27'), Luis (34'), Silva (47'), Di Maria (58')
Silva (74')
Lopes (1')
Safira (30'), Rocha (72'), Serginho (90')
May 27, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 34
Benfica
3-0
Santa Clara
Ramos (7'), Silva (28'), Grimaldo (60' pen.)
Grimaldo (61')

Adriano (90+1')
Jan 21, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 17
Santa Clara
0-3
Benfica
Aursnes (9'), Ramos (16'), Guedes (80')
Feb 12, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 22
Benfica
2-1
Santa Clara
Nunez (60' pen., 62')
Silva (24'), Nunez (40'), Weigl (82')
Mohebi (21')
Mohebi (28'), Morita (32'), Barreto (40'), Pereira (45+1'), Villanueva (58')
Sep 11, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 5
Santa Clara
0-5
Benfica

Ramos (45+2'), Mansur (47')
Pinho (42'), Nunez (54', 62'), Silva (58'), Yaremchuk (68')
Vlachodimos (27')
rhs 2.0
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