We said: Benfica 3-0 Santa Clara
Fresh off the back of an emphatic victory over Rio Ave, Benfica will head into the midweek clash with confidence as they look to launch their cup quest on a high. While we expect Lage to rest some big-name players, As Aguias boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to extend their dominance over Santa Clara.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 13.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.33%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.