Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 56.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 19.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santa Clara in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Santa Clara.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
56.57% ( 0.05) | 23.95% ( -0.01) | 19.48% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.05% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.8% ( -0) | 52.2% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.09% ( -0) | 73.91% ( 0.01) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.71% ( 0.02) | 18.28% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.65% ( 0.03) | 49.35% ( -0.02) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.8% ( -0.04) | 41.19% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.27% ( -0.03) | 77.73% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
1-0 @ 12.79% 2-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.25% Total : 56.56% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 7.53% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 19.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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